Stefanik Closing Polling Gap With Hochul In NY Governor’s Race

A new poll indicates that Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.), a candidate for governor, is trailing incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul (D) by just 3 percentage points — suggesting a potentially competitive race if Stefanik secures the Republican nomination.

The survey, conducted by independent market research firm J.L. Partners, polled 500 likely New York voters and found Hochul leading Stefanik 46 percent to 43 percent in a hypothetical matchup, with 11 percent undecided, The Hill reported, citing the results.

The survey shows that 37 percent of voters have a very or somewhat favorable view of Stefanik, while 32 percent hold a somewhat or very unfavorable view.

Stefanik, a strong supporter of President Trump, launched her gubernatorial campaign last week. She was first elected to Congress in 2014 to represent New York’s 21st Congressional District and served as House GOP conference chair from 2021 to 2025.

Trump nominated her for U.S. ambassador to the United Nations in January, but the nomination was later withdrawn after concerns were raised that her vote in Congress would be needed to advance his agenda.

Meanwhile, Hochul is tapping the brakes on New York City Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani’s $700 million plan for free city buses, casting early doubt on one of the far-left lawmaker’s biggest campaign promises, The New York Post reported.

Speaking at the SOMOS political retreat in Puerto Rico on Saturday, Hochul said she’s already spent heavily to support the city’s struggling MTA and questioned how much further the state could go.

“I continue to be excited at the work of making the slowest buses in America fast and free,” Mamdani said Monday during an unrelated press conference. “And I appreciate the governor’s continued partnership in delivering on that agenda of affordability.”

But Hochul’s comments in San Juan marked the latest break between the moderate Democratic governor and Mamdani, the Democratic socialist she endorsed just two months ago.

Hochul happily rode Mamdani’s coattails during the campaign as he energized progressives with promises of affordability and social programs, but she has shown far less enthusiasm for actually paying for them.

The governor has rejected several of Mamdani’s cornerstone ideas, including proposals to raise taxes on wealthy New Yorkers to fund $10 billion in new benefits like free child care and fareless transit.

Her caution could create a serious roadblock for the incoming mayor, whose ambitious plans rely on support from Albany to move forward.

The top two Democratic leaders in the state Legislature — Assembly Speaker Carl Heastie and Senate Majority Leader Andrea Stewart-Cousins — have signaled more willingness to help Mamdani pursue his agenda.

That divide leaves Hochul increasingly isolated from the party’s energized left flank, which has been openly pressuring her to embrace higher taxes on the rich.

During recent public appearances, activists have twice interrupted the governor with chants of “Tax the rich,” drawing a sharp rebuke.

“The more you push me, the more I’m not going to do what you want,” Hochul told the SOMOS crowd in response.

Still, Hochul did not fully reject Mamdani’s wish list.

She said she’s open to working with him on expanding free child care, though she made clear it would be an expensive and long-term goal.

“We’ll be on a path to get there, because I’m committed to this as ‘mom governor’ — I get it,” Hochul said.

“But also to do it statewide, right now, it’s about $15 billion — the entire amount of my reserves.”

The cautious tone was a reality check for Mamdani, who has portrayed himself as the champion of “everyday New Yorkers” and promised to make the city more affordable through massive new public spending.

Hochul’s remarks also came as she continues her own political maneuvering ahead of a likely 2026 re-election bid.